Browsing Posts tagged Max Scherzer

Some sports books have released MLB win totals. Over the next few days, we’ll analyze the win totals by division and comments where we see some value. Today, we’ll focus on the National League East:

The odds-makers believe that Washington will run away with the National League East title. After adding Max Scherzer to an already loaded rotation, it’s hard not to envision Washington not only winning the NL East, but winning the National League itself. 

Washington

As mentioned above, Washington is easily the best team in the National League. Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg can match-up against any team. Washington’s offense, which is led by Ian Desmond and Bryce Harper, is very solid. The rest of the NL East isn’t in Washington’s class.

New York

Hopes are very high for the Mets. Matt Harvey will return, Michael Cuddyer was signed to provide veteran leadership, and David Wright is 100% healthy after a pesky shoulder injury limited him last season. It’s been a very long-time since the Yankees and Mets were projected to win the same amount of games. The Mets have a golden opportunity to be the toast of the town.

Miami

Miami made Giancarlo Stanton its $325 million man, but its other moves have gone surprisingly unnoticed. Miami traded for Martin Prado and Mat Latos while inking Michael Morse in free agency. Its ace, Jose Fernandez, will be out until mid-June. 

Atlanta

With the exception of Craig Kimbrel, Atlanta lost nearly all of its talented players. Justin Upton and Jason Heyward were traded away while Aaron Harang and Ervin Santana, who threw nearly 400 innings, left via free agency. Julio Teheran and Alex Wood will be expected to lead this rotation.

Philadelphia

The Phillies are years away from competing. The Phillies may trade away Cole Hamels and Cliff Lee,  which would push Philadelphia deeper into its rebuilding process.

Observations:

  • Despite adding Scherzer, the odds-makers are projecting Washington to win fewer games. The odds-makers are still bullish on Miami even without the presence of Fernandez. None of these lines offer a lot of value, but I would bet on our hometown, New York Mets. The Mets may not make the playoffs, but winning 82-85 games would be a huge improvement and a building block for next season.

Best Bet:

  • Mets Over 81.5 Wins

Hiroki Kuroda, who turns 40-years-old in February, will return to his old team, the Hiroshima Toyo Carp, for the 2015 season. Over the past few seasons, Kuroda has contemplated retirement, but has returned to take the $12-$15 million offered by the Yankees. After four years with the Los Angeles Dodgers, Kuroda joined the Yankees during the 2012 season. Kuroda went 38-33 with a 3.44 ERA during his time tenure with the Yankees. At face value, these numbers do not justify Kuroda’s impact with the Yankees since he rarely received substantial run support. While Kuroda’s numbers do not rank with baseball’s elite, Kuroda was reliable, durable, and consistent for a team that desperately needed it. Kuroda threw 620 innings over his three seasons in New York.

CC Sabathia, Mashario Tanaka, and Michael Pineda are (hopefully) locks for the 2015 rotation while Ivan Nova, Chris Capuano, and Nathan Eovaldi will duke it out for the back half of the rotation. Max Scherzer is still available, but reports suggest that the Yankees will not be on him.

Kuroda didn’t generate many headlines with the Yankees, but he was an innings-eater that covered up a lot of holes in the rotation. The Yankees enter the 2015 season with question marks all over their rotation, so losing their only consistent starter, hurts. Still, Kuroda is 40-years-old, so fans couldn’t expect his string of consistent seasons to last forever. I’ll respect Kuroda as a respectable, professional starting pitcher that always gave his best effort. Enjoy Japan, Hiroki!

Last week, we detailed an argument why the Yankees should wait until next season to tap the free agent starting pitching class. Today, we’ll detail each of the potential free agent options and whether they’ll be a fit. Before we dig into the potential free agents, the Yankees currently have approximately $127 million committed to the 2015 roster. After arbitration hearings, this amount will likely rise to $140 million. To put this in perspective, four players (A-Rod, Mark Teixeira, CC Sabathia, and Jacoby Ellsbury) account for nearly $90 million. Derek Jeter, Brett Gardner, David Robertson, Alfonso Soriano, and Hiroki Kuroda will be free agents.

Needless to say, the Yankees will have plenty of holes to fill in the rotation. Here are some intriguing 2015 free agents that can be added to the rotation..

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There’s no denying that the Yankees need to add impact starting pitching. The 2014 Yankee rotation will be led by Hiroki Kuroda, CC Sabathia, and Ivan Nova, which isn’t enough to withstand the grind of a 162 game season. To fill out their rotation, the Yankees could turn to either the free agent market or pick from uninspiring internal options. The Yankees are obviously interested in Japanese RHP Masahiro Tanaka, who may or may not be posted by the Rakuten Golden Eagles of the Nippon Professional Baseball league. Changes in the posting system, namely capping the maximum posting bid at $20 million, have made Rakuten rethink posting Tanaka. In fact, Rakuten has made Tanaka a generous contract offer in hopes of keeping its ace. 

Given the uncertainty surrounding Tanaka’s posting status, this year’s free agent starting pitching market hasn’t taken shape. This year’s ‘Top’ remaining free agent pitching options include Ervin Santana, Matt Garza, Ubaldo Jimenez, AJ Burnett, and Bronson Arroyo. All five of these pitchers have obvious blemishes and would not provide more than a middling middle of the rotation option. Next year, however, potentially presents one of the best free agent classes in recent memory. Of note, Cy Young Award winners Clayton Kershaw and Max Scherzer could hit the open market. Established AL East options should as Jon Lester, Justin Masterson, Jake Peavy, and James Shields will be available. Finally, a few decent options from the NL Central, Homer Bailey, Johnny Cueto, and Yovani Gallardo will also be available. 

In Part I of this article, we’ll breakdown each of the available 2014 free agent options to see whether or not they’re a fit for the Yankees. Part II will address the 2015 free agent class. More after the jump..

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