Browsing Posts tagged Geno Smith

The New York Jets learned that the fate of a team’s season can change on a single play. Ryan Fitzpatrick injured his left thumb, his non-throwing hand, on the game’s sixth play and exited. Fitzpatrick scrambled on a third down play and secured a first down, but went head first instead of sliding. Fitzpatrick gave way to Geno Smith—and everything started to fall apart on both sides of the ball. After chasing around Tom Brady and Co. last week, New York’s defense looked sluggish against a confident Oakland offense. New York’s tackling was uncharacteristically poor and the secondary was shredded by both Derek Carr and Latavius Murray. Personnel wise, Oakland exploited back-up corner, Marcus Williams who was filling in at safety for the injured Calvin Prior. The middle of the field was wide open for the duration of the game and Oakland’s dynamic playmakers exploited it all game long. Credit Darrelle Revis, though for his superb coverage on Amari Cooper, who was limited to just 55 yards.

Monitor Brandon Marshall’s status throughout the week. Marshall went down twice during the game, once with a toe injury and a second time with an ankle injury, and was constantly talking to doctors on the sideline. Credit Marshall for only missing a few plays and battling through his ailments. During the fourth quarter, Marshall’s speed was comprised and dropped a sure-fire touchdown, but luckily, he finished the game.

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Fresh off their 19-14 Week 1 victory, the New York Jets will head to Green Bay to face the Packers. The Packers were embarrassed by Seattle, 36-16, on opening night. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers completed 22 of 32 passes for 189 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Running back Ed Lacy suffered a concussion and his status is in question for this match-up. Seattle ran for 150 yards in their Week 1 over Green Bay so look for the Jets to run the ball to keep Rodgers and Co. off the field. The Jets ran for 175 yards in their Week 1 victory over the Raiders. Chris Ivory turned in the play of the day by taking a hand-off off left tackle for a 71-yard touchdown.

Oakland’s rookie quarterback, Derek Carr, completed 20-of-32 passes for 151 yards and two touchdowns against the Jets. Carr does not have Randall Cobb or Nelson at his disposal nor does he have the ability of Aaron Rodgers. Look for Rodgers and Co. to come out throwing during their home opener.

Current NFL odds list the Packers as 9.5-point home favorites. This spread seems a little light, but underdogs went 10-3 against the spread during Week 1. In addition, the Jets showed the ability  to control the clock with their run game. Expect a heavy dosage of New York’s ‘Chris Backfield’ and a cover at the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field!

Official Pick: NY Jets +9.5

The New York Jets (7-8) finish their season with one more divisional showdown. The Jets, 24-13 winners last week against the Cleveland Browns, will look to avenge their Week 13 loss against the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins flat out dominated the Jets, beating them 23-3 and vaulting themselves back into the playoff picture. With a home win on Sunday, the Dolphins will capture the sixth and final AFC playoff spot.

The New York Jets played with a lot of heart and emotion last week as they won their final home against the Cleveland Browns. There have been rumblings about Rex Ryan’s job status. Fox NFL Insider Jay Glazer believes that Ryan will be fired after the season and communicated this decision to his team on Saturday night. Ryan’s defense delivered a huge effort and rookie quarterback Geno Smith delivered a huge effort by accounting for three total touchdowns. Smith delivered two touchdown passes to unheralded wide receiver, David Nelson and added one on the ground with a 17-yard scamper late in the fourth quarter. Smith’s touchdown fired Rex Ryan up more than usual. Ryan was fist pumping and jumping up and down on the sideline. Let’s see if Ryan and Smith can build on this performance and carry this momentum to Miami.

The Jets were great at home, posting a 6-2 record, but struggling mightily on the road, losing six of seven contests. The Jets will attempt to play spoiler for the Dolphins, but the linemakers peg the Dolphins as a solid home favorite. NFL Odds are in Miami’s favor as they opened as a solid seven-point home favorite against their AFC East foes. Rex Ryan’s team has not won two games in a row this season and given his impending dismissal, I have a hard time thinking the Jets will win this game. Ryan Tannehill had a big game against the Jets in Week 13 and I expect another one with a lot on the line.

Prediction: Dolphins 24 Jets 10

The 6-8 New York Jets season effectively ended last week with a 30-20 loss to the Carolina Panthers. Once again, quarterback Geno Smith looked befuddled by the blitz and had a hard time completing passes to open receivers. In fact, only six of Smith’s 15 completions went to wide receivers. Despite his troubles throwing, the Jets were able to run for 153 yards against Carolina’s top ranked run defense. The Jets will look to once again establish the run against Cleveland’s eighth ranked run defense.

The 4-10 Cleveland Browns have once again had a rough season. Cleveland has played five different quarterbacks throughout the season and will likely add another during next year’s draft. Last week, Cleveland dropped a heart breaking 27-26 decision on the road to the New England Patriots. New England scored 14 unanswered points in the final two minutes to sneak away with the win.

The lone bright spot of Cleveland’s offense has been wide receiver, Josh Gordon. Gordon, who leads the NFL with 1,447 receiving yards, has been a dynamic play maker. Gordon missed the first two games of the season due a suspension, but has performed with a multitude of quarterbacks under center. Tight end Jordan Cameron has also enjoyed a breakout season, catching 75 passes for 848 yards and 7 TDs. Both Gordon and Cameron will look to take advantage of a Jet defense that has been suspect in recent weeks.

Despite New York’s home field advantage, many are expecting a tight game in the Meadowlands. According to current NFL odds, the Jets are favored by just one point. The small spread can be attributed to Smith’s lack of consistent play, the inconsistencies of the Jet defense, and Cleveland’s dynamic play makers. Cleveland does not have much of a running game, which is the Jets strength, but Cleveland can beat teams with Gordon and Cameron. 

I like Cleveland in this game. Their play makers are far superior to the Jets and Cleveland’s defense is good enough to stop Geno Smith. 

Prediction: Cleveland 21 New York 17

The 6-7 New York Jets kept their season alive with a 37-27 home victory over the Oakland Raiders. Geno Smith bounced back with his best game in two months and the Jet defense answered the call with a strong defensive effort. Things will get much tougher this week for Smith and Co. as they travel to Carolina to take on the angry 9-4 Carolina Panthers. Carolina laid an egg on Sunday Night Football in New Orleans and will look to bounce back with a home victory over the Jets. Carolina QB Cam Newton has played well lately and the Jets must figure out a way to slow to down Newton’s dual-threat abilities. After running for 4.5 yards per carry against Oakland, the Jets will try to run on Carolina’s ferocious, top-ranked run defense. Carolina is allowing a league best 79.4 rushing yards per game. 

The Jets enter this game trailing the Baltimore Ravens by one game for the AFC’s final Wildcard spot. The Miami Dolphins, who the Jets play in Week 17, also sit one game ahead of the Jets. The Ravens have a tough remaining schedule (at DET, vs NE, at CIN) while the Dolphins have a much easier schedule (vs NE, at BUF, vs NYJ). The Jets’ remaining schedule presents some challenges (at CAR, vs CLE, at MIA), so a win this week is critical for keeping playoff hopes alive. Many are not expecting a Jet win this weekend. Current NFL betting odds have Carolina installed as a 12-point favorite. The linemakers are clearly expecting a big performance from Carolina and a lack luster performance from the Jets. 

In most instances, I would expect the Jets to build off of last week’s victory. However, this is a terrible match-up. Carolina’s defense has been one of the top units in the NFL. No one runs the ball on the Panthers. The Jets have enough trouble passing the ball to make me a little leery about this match-up. I’m expecting Carolina to win big and cover the spread.

Prediction: Carolina 27 New York 10

Last week, the 5-6 New York Jets looked completely inept as they dropped a 19-3 decision in Baltimore to the Ravens. As a rookie passer, Geno Smith has looked bewildered against the blitz. The Ravens deployed a multitude of blitz packages and Smith was only able to complete four passes for 42 yards through three and a half quarters of play. The 5-6 Miami Dolphins figure to follow suite and apply pressure early and often. 

The Miami Dolphins, who are no strangers to controversy, head to New York off a very tough home loss to the Carolina Panthers. Carolina QB Cam Newton willed the Panthers to a last second victory and sent the Dolphins into a six-way tie for the final AFC playoff berth. With only five weeks to go, every game is critical. Given how tight the playoff race is, this battle of 5-6 AFC East foes is essentially an elimination game. 

After this week’s home tilt against the Dolphins, the Jets will host the 4-7 Oakland Raiders, travel to take on the surging 8-3 Carolina Panthers, host the 4-7 Cleveland Browns, and square off against the 5-6 Dolphins in Week 17. A win this week will give the Jets a great chance at securing eight wins with the possibility of nine wins. The Jets figure to be a large underdog in Carolina against the Panthers. 

Bookmakers are expecting a tight game between the Jets and Dolphins. A review of past 2013 NFL odds suggest that the Jets are the play as the home team in a ‘Pick’em Game’. The Jets are 4-1 against the spread as a home team this season while the Dolphins are 2-3 ATS as a road team. In addition, the over/under is set at 38.5 points, which is one of the lowest Week 13 totals. Miami QB Ryan Tannehill is one of the most sacked quarterbacks in the NFL, so expect Rex Ryan to deploy pressure looks to test Miami’s offensive line. I like the Jets this week in a very tight contest.

Prediction: Jets 20 Dolphins 17

Time after time, Rex Ryan declared his quarterback competition was an ‘open competition’. Ryan’s proclamation closely followed the mantra brought in by new general manager, John Idzik. However, NFL competition is rarely ‘open’ and teams often have preconceived favorites. During 2009, Rex Ryan anointed rookie Mark Sanchez the starter after just six pre-season completions. The tables have turned on Sanchez and the Jets are trying to substantiate  their belief that Geno Smith should be their starting quarterback. Geno Smith was terrible against the Giants in Week 3 of the pre-season, throwing three interceptions and causing one brutal safety. The Jets were hoping that Smith would play well so they could finally push Sanchez to the side, but it didn’t happen. Sanchez suffered a shoulder injury against the Giants, so Ryan has placed his chips behind Smith. Smith must play well against Tampa Bay in order to bolster Ryan’s credibility after his terrible Week 3 performance. 

No one expects Smith to set the league on fire during his rookie season, but Jet fans are expecting competitive effort. Sportsbooks do not respect the Jets, pegging their season win total at 6.5. The Jets aren’t receiving much respect in Week 1, either. According to NFL lines at Sportsbook Tampa Bay has been installed a three-point road favorite at the Meadowlands. Smith’s Week 3 performance indicated that he is not ready to lead an NFL offense. Darrelle Revis and Co. will attempt to force Smith into bad throws.

Still, Jet fans may wonder if Smith would be starting if Sanchez was still healthy. According to Jet sources, if healthy, Sanchez would have started Week 1, purely based on Smith’s dreadful performance. Jet fans must wonder why Ryan put Sanchez in harms way during a meaningless fourth quarter. Regardless of Rex’s reasoning, the Jets ultimately have ‘their guy’ starting in Week 1. The biggest question of all remains–Are the Jets purely motivated by their desire to get rid of Sanchez or do they truly believe Smith can lead them to victory? 

Regardless of the answer, the Jets have once again mismanaged the quarterback position and it seems like they fail to properly ‘rebuild’. It’ll likely be another long season for Gang Green, regardless of who lines up at quarterback.