Browsing Posts tagged Cliff Lee

Some sports books have released MLB win totals. Over the next few days, we’ll analyze the win totals by division and comments where we see some value. Today, we’ll focus on the National League East:

The odds-makers believe that Washington will run away with the National League East title. After adding Max Scherzer to an already loaded rotation, it’s hard not to envision Washington not only winning the NL East, but winning the National League itself. 

Washington

As mentioned above, Washington is easily the best team in the National League. Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg can match-up against any team. Washington’s offense, which is led by Ian Desmond and Bryce Harper, is very solid. The rest of the NL East isn’t in Washington’s class.

New York

Hopes are very high for the Mets. Matt Harvey will return, Michael Cuddyer was signed to provide veteran leadership, and David Wright is 100% healthy after a pesky shoulder injury limited him last season. It’s been a very long-time since the Yankees and Mets were projected to win the same amount of games. The Mets have a golden opportunity to be the toast of the town.

Miami

Miami made Giancarlo Stanton its $325 million man, but its other moves have gone surprisingly unnoticed. Miami traded for Martin Prado and Mat Latos while inking Michael Morse in free agency. Its ace, Jose Fernandez, will be out until mid-June. 

Atlanta

With the exception of Craig Kimbrel, Atlanta lost nearly all of its talented players. Justin Upton and Jason Heyward were traded away while Aaron Harang and Ervin Santana, who threw nearly 400 innings, left via free agency. Julio Teheran and Alex Wood will be expected to lead this rotation.

Philadelphia

The Phillies are years away from competing. The Phillies may trade away Cole Hamels and Cliff Lee,  which would push Philadelphia deeper into its rebuilding process.

Observations:

  • Despite adding Scherzer, the odds-makers are projecting Washington to win fewer games. The odds-makers are still bullish on Miami even without the presence of Fernandez. None of these lines offer a lot of value, but I would bet on our hometown, New York Mets. The Mets may not make the playoffs, but winning 82-85 games would be a huge improvement and a building block for next season.

Best Bet:

  • Mets Over 81.5 Wins

Ryan Howard hit 2 home runs, including a grand slam, Ben Francisco and Placido Polanco each added 2 RBI, and the Mets now drop to 11-15 on the year.  Mike Pelfrey allowed 8 hits and 4 runs in his 4.1 innings of work.  Dillon Gee relieved Pelfrey and only allowed one hit.  Unfortunately, that one hit was Ryan Howard’s grand slam to make the game 8-0 in the 6th inning, and effectively end the game.

Vance Worley pitched 6 shutout innings for the Phillies.  The Mets threatened in the top of the first inning, with Daniel Murphy and David Wright reaching base on errors.  But Worley coaxed a double-play ball out of Carlos Beltran to end the threat.  He and Pelfrey would trade zeros until the 4th inning, when Howard hit the first of his home runs, a 2-run shot.  From that point on, it was all Phillies.

What do I have to do to win in this park?

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Hi, my name is Dan Shaw and I’m going to contribute a vast array of research pieces all across professional sports. Today, I’m going to compare the 2011 Philadelphia Phillies rotation to the 1997 Atlanta Braves that featured Greg Maddux, Tom Glavine, John Smoltz, and Denny Neagle, who were all in their prime. The question begs to be answered: Which rotation is more impressive?

Three Hall of Famers In One Shot

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After Zack Greinke accepted a trade to the Milwaukee Brewers yesterday, I immediately started to think about the Cy Young race in the National League. AL Cy Young winners from 2008 and 2009 have now joined the National League, creating a deep pool of talented starters. Here’s just a brief overview of the contenders for 2011:

1. Roy Halladay, PHI (2010 Cy Young Winner): 21-10, 2.44 ERA (2010)
2. Cliff Lee, PHI (2008 AL Cy Young Winner): 12-9, 3.18 ERA (2010)
3. Tim Lincecum, SF (2008, 2009 NL Cy Young Winner): 16-10, 3.43 ERA (2010)
4. Zack Greinke, MIL (2009 AL Cy Young Winner): 10-14, 4.17 ERA (2010)
5. Ubaldo Jimenez, COL: 19-8, 2.88 ERA (2010)
6. Adam Wainwright, STL (Finished second in 2010): 20-11, 2.42 ERA (2010)
7. Josh Johnson, FLA (Finished fifth, missed seven starts in 2010): 11-6, 2.30 ERA (2010)
8. Chris Carpenter, STL (2005 NL Cy Young Winner, three Top 3 finishes in last five years): 16-9, 3.22 ERA (2010)
9. Mat Latos, SD (Finished eighth in voting in first full season): 14-10, 2.92 ERA, 189 Ks
10. Cole Hamels, PHI (2008 World Series MVP): 12-11, 3.06 ERA, 206 Ks
11. Clayton Kershaw, LAD: 13-10, 2.91 ERA, 212 Ks
12. Roy Oswalt, PHI: 13-13, 2.76 ERA, 193 Ks

If I had to put $1,000,000 on one these pitchers, Mr. Halladay is my man.

How about you?

In what was a groggy day in Yankee Universe, the New York Yankees went out and signed Russell Martin and Mark Prior to deals, both according to MLB.com. Both of these deals will certainly gives the Yankees more options for 2011, so let’s see how they will impact the team, if at all.

Russell Martin Looks Like Jesus Montero - NDG Baseball Alumni

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Yankee fans have been waiting for a few years to pinpoint a new villain. Manny is off in his own dream world. Pedro’s fastball tops out at around 83 MPH and he can’t find work. And Papi, well, who cares. He stinks. Cliff Lee is the new age Yankee villain. He has schooled us in the playoffs. He left us standing at our Pinstriped alter. He told the Yankees to basically take their money and…You can fill in the rest. No sponsorships. No YES Network. No hanging out with Jay-Z after the game. No words of encouragement from Rudy Guliani before the game.

'Ruben Amaro' hugging Cliff

Lee and CC Sabathia were supposed to take this city by storm. They were supposed to silence the newly-added Red Sox left-handed bats. However, it was not meant to be as Mr. Lee left millions of Yankee dollars on the table to join one of our biggest rivals. My friends, Cliff Lee is now public enemy #1 in this city. See you in the World Series, you big red dog.

Well, I don’t think many people saw this coming, but Cliff Lee and the Phillies have agreed to a contract. Nothing has been released yet, but the deal is apparently for five years, $100 million with an option for a sixth year.

I covered the topic in detail earlier tonight, but if you want vent your frustrations, use this thread here.

For Yankee fans, this one hurts. The Yankees offered Lee a six-year contract worth $138 million with a $16 million option for a seventh year. Lee clearly left money on the table and as of right now, Ivan Nova is our fourth starter.

For Mets fans, well, there’s nothing to say. Just duck and cover for 2011.

Also, it’s pretty good to be the Kansas City Royals today. The Zack Greinke price just went through the roof.

For the last few days, we have heard that a ‘Mystery Team’ has entered the Cliff Lee sweepstakes. That suitor appears to be none other than the Philadelphia Phillies. Lee was a member of the Phillies during the second half of the 2009 season, pitching the team to their second consecutive World Series appearance. Lee was exceptionally good in the playoffs that year, going 4-0 with 1.56 ERA in five starts. After Lee’s impressive post-season run and knowing that they wouldn’t be able to afford him long-term, the Phillies shipped him to the Seattle Mariners as one of the key components in the three-team deal that sent Roy Halladay to Philly. With the Yankees and Rangers publicly stating their desire to land the 32-year-old left-hander, what are the Phillies chances of bringing him back to Philly?

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Nothing is official yet, but reports on Twitter indicate the Cliff Lee is going back to the Texas Rangers. The report states that Lee turned down the Yankees seven-year, $161 million deal. The report states that Lee and his wife prefer their lifestyle in Texas rather than taking Yankee money and moving to the East Coast. The Rangers are rumored to have offered a 5/6 year deal worth approximately $20 million per year.

Again, nothing is official yet, but Lee has apparently rejected the top Yankee offer. Will the Bombers offer a new deal? That remains to be seen.

If the Yankees lose out on Cliff Lee, the Kansas City Royals stand as the biggest winners, as Zack Greinke’s price will go through the roof.

The Yankees have just increased their offer to a seventh year for Cliff Lee, according to a tweet from SI’s Jon Heyman. With Carl Crawford and Jayson Werth both getting deals of seven years, and with the Red Sox reported to be one of the “mystery teams” that had a seven-year offer on the table, it’d be difficult for Cashman and Co. to sign Lee without matching that length.

The Yanks’ previous offer to Lee was reported to be six years and $140 million.

The Yankees are in the driver’s seat, right where they belong. In a closely related story, the Mets signed Boof Bonser…