Browsing Posts in Yankees

Some sports books have released MLB win totals. Over the next few days, we’ll analyze the win totals by division and comments where we see some value. Today, we’ll focus on the American League East:

After adding Pablo Sandoval and Hanley Ramirez, the odds-makers believe that the Boston Red Sox are American League East favorites. Boston, however, does not have a bonafide Ace atop its rotation. Boston was unable to re-sign starting pitcher (and fan favorite), Jon Lester. Boston has been discussing a trade for Cole Hamels, but it doesn’t look like it will happen before the season. The American League East features some great hitters, so Boston will need the starting pitchers to compete.

Toronto also added some more offensive firepower by signing Russell Martin and trading for Josh Donaldson. Toronto’s offense features a lot of right-handed power hitters, but alike Boston, does not have depth in its starting rotation. R.A. Dickey will be asked to lead this rotation, but Toronto has the uncanny ability to under-perform annually.

The Baltimore Orioles won the AL East last season, but the odds-makers aren’t expecting a second straight title. Nelson Cruz, who hit 41 home runs last season, signed with the Seattle Mariners. Baltimore is hoping Chris Davis can bounce back, but he’s an unknown entering the 2015 season. Baltimore also lacks rotation depth.

The New York Yankees are projected to finish fourth. The Yankees have gotten younger and are expecting bounce back campaigns from Masahiro Tanaka, CC Sabathia, and Ivan Nova. Chase Headley re-signed and the Yankees traded for shortstop, Didi Gregorious. Fans are also expecting respectable seasons from A-Rod and Mark Teixeira

Tampa Bay is expected to take a step-back after manager Joe Maddon left and Ben Zobrist, Yunel Escobar, and David Price were traded away. Tampa Bay is expecting its younger players to step-up and fill the void.


  • I don’t think there’s a ton of value in any of these totals. I think the Yankees are better than the Blue Jays and Orioles, so I would want to bet Yankees (OVER). I think Tampa Bay is in for a rude awakening and should falter in a tight race for the AL East crowd. I’d bet Tampa Bay (UNDER).

Best Bets:

Yankees Over 81.5 Wins

Rays Under 78.5 Wins

Hiroki Kuroda, who turns 40-years-old in February, will return to his old team, the Hiroshima Toyo Carp, for the 2015 season. Over the past few seasons, Kuroda has contemplated retirement, but has returned to take the $12-$15 million offered by the Yankees. After four years with the Los Angeles Dodgers, Kuroda joined the Yankees during the 2012 season. Kuroda went 38-33 with a 3.44 ERA during his time tenure with the Yankees. At face value, these numbers do not justify Kuroda’s impact with the Yankees since he rarely received substantial run support. While Kuroda’s numbers do not rank with baseball’s elite, Kuroda was reliable, durable, and consistent for a team that desperately needed it. Kuroda threw 620 innings over his three seasons in New York.

CC Sabathia, Mashario Tanaka, and Michael Pineda are (hopefully) locks for the 2015 rotation while Ivan Nova, Chris Capuano, and Nathan Eovaldi will duke it out for the back half of the rotation. Max Scherzer is still available, but reports suggest that the Yankees will not be on him.

Kuroda didn’t generate many headlines with the Yankees, but he was an innings-eater that covered up a lot of holes in the rotation. The Yankees enter the 2015 season with question marks all over their rotation, so losing their only consistent starter, hurts. Still, Kuroda is 40-years-old, so fans couldn’t expect his string of consistent seasons to last forever. I’ll respect Kuroda as a respectable, professional starting pitcher that always gave his best effort. Enjoy Japan, Hiroki!

If the New York Yankees (72-66) want to stay alive in the race for the second American League Wild Card berth, they’ll need to beat teams ahead of them. That task starts on Friday night when the Kansas City Royals (77-61) head to the Bronx for a three-game set. The Yankees are coming off a dramatic walk-off win yesterday against the Red Sox. The Yankees scored two runs in the bottom of the ninth inning to pick up the series win. They’ll hand the ball to their burly RHP to keep up their momentum. RHP Michael Pineda (3-3, 2.09 ERA) will look to extend the Yankee win streak to three. Over his last four starts, Pineda has allowed two runs or fewer in each of his starts. Pineda was a ‘hard luck’ loser on Saturday, dropping a 2-0 decision to Toronto. Pineda won an earlier start against the Royals, tossing 6 1/3 innings and striking out five. Pineda is unbeaten at home this season, boasting a 2-0 record with a 1.50 ERA over three starts. 

Pineda will be opposed by RHP James Shields (12-7, 3.38 ERA). Alike Pineda, Shields was a tough luck loser last Saturday against Cleveland. Shields allowed just one run over seven innings as his team dropped a 3-2 decision. Two weeks ago, the Yankees tagged Shields for six runs and ten hits over 6 2/3 innings. Knowing how compeitive Shields is, he’ll want revenge.

Current MLB odds list the Yankees as a home favorite (-125). Despite being favored, I like Kansas City in this spot. The Yankees are coming off an emotional walk off win over the Red Sox and Derek Jeter’s number will be retired on Sunday. Expect Shields to have a big outing to propel his team to victory.

MLB Pick: KC Royals -ML

The suddenly hot New York Yankees (68-61), winners of five straight games, will look to keep their momentum going as they head to Detroit for a three-game set. On Monday, the Yankees offense scored four runs in the seventh inning en-route to an 8-1 victory of the AL Central leading Kansas City Royals. The Yankees tagged James Shields, Kansas City’s ace, for six runs in 6 1/3 innings. Derek Jeter, who made his last appearance at Kauffman Stadium, drove in two runs. The Yankees received a strong pitching performance from the resurgent Michael Pineda. Pineda struck out five hitters over 6 1/3 innings to pick up the win. Despite their recent string of success, the Yankees will need a strong showing to chase down one of their AL Wild Card foes, the Detroit Tigers. 

The Detroit Tigers (70-59) have won two straight games including a 13-4 beat down of the Minnesota Twins on Sunday. The Tigers currently trail the Kansas City Royals by 1.5 games in the AL Central and lead the Yankees by two games in a race for the second Wild Card berth. Earlier this month, the Yankees won three-of-four at home against the Tigers. Tuesday’s starter, Rick Porcello (14-8, 3.10 ERA) was a hard luck 1-0 loser in one of the games. Porcello is coming off a complete game shutout of the Tampa Bay Rays and has allowed two or fewer earned runs in five of his last six starts. Porcello carries a 4.08 ERA at home and has given up seven earned runs over his last two home starts. Porcello will be opposed by Yankee starter, Brandon McCarthy (8-12, 4.01 ERA). Alike Porcello, McCarthy is coming off of a complete game shut out of his own. Last week, McCarthy tossed a complete game shut out at home against the Astros. McCarthy beat the Tigers, 2-1 earlier this month. He struck out eight over 5 2/3 innings.

Current MLB odds list the Tigers as a small home favorite (-114). The Yankees have been traveling a lot recently, so I’m going to fade their recent hot streak. Take the Tigers with your MLB Picks!

Free MLB Pick: Detroit Tigers -114

After taking three of four games against the rebuild Detroit Tigers, the New York Yankees (60-54) will look to keep the momentum going against the Cleveland Indians (57-57). After Thursday’s victory, the Yankees moved within one game of the American League’s second Wildcard berth and moved into a second place tie in the American League East. The Yankees trail the first place Baltimore Orioles by five games. The Indians split a four-game set against the Cincinnati Reds earlier this week, but only sit four games out of the American League’s second Wildcard spot. 

If the Yankees want to keep their winning ways up, they’ll need a strong start from RHP Esmil Rogers (0-0, 5.84 ERA). Rogers has made two appearances out of the bullpen since joining the Yankees. Friday night will mark his first start in pinstripes. Cleveland will counter with RHP Trevor Bauer (4-6, 4.20 ERA). Bauer, who was once a highly touted prospect with the Arizona Diamondback, has had an up-and-down career. Bauer is only 23-years-old and has shown flashes of brilliance. Bauer has given up at least three earned runs in his last four starts. Bauer pitched seven innings and gave up only two runs a month ago against the Bombers.

Current MLB Odds slot the Yankees as a slight home favorite. The Yankee offense is coming through with timely hits and I expect that to continue. Take the Yankees with your MLB picks this evening!

MLB Pick: NY Yankees -ML


The Yankees sorely miss the presence of their aces, RHP Masahiro Tanaka and LHP CC Sabathia. However, ace-like performances have become common for one of their most recent acquisitions. RHP Brandon McCarthy is 2-0 with a 1.45 ERA as a member of the Yankees. Even though opponents are hitting .260 against McCarthy, he’s been excellent in generating outs in high leverage situations. McCarthy’s will look to duplicate his most recent victory, a home win against the Texas Rangers, tonight in Arlington. 

While McCarthy’s performances have been impressive, the Yankee offense has staked McCarthy with early leads. The Yankee offense has averaged seven runs per start while McCarthy’s old club, Arizona, only scored three runs per start. Despite his recent string of strong starts, McCarthy has struggled in Arlington. McCarthy is 0-2 with a 7.65 ERA in four starts. 

The Yankees have dropped three straight games including a 4-2 decision on Monday. The Yankees currently sit 4.5 games behind the first place Baltimore Orioles. Texas hasn’t won back-to-back games since June 28-29. Texas RHP Nick Martinez won’t make things easy. Martinez is winless in eight starts with a 0-5 record and 6.98 ERA. Martinez did hold the Yankees scoreless over 5 1/3 innings in his start. 

The Yankees are a road favorite according to MLB Odds. Take the hot pitcher on a team desperate for a road win. Take the Yankees with your MLB picks.

Official Pick: New York Yankees 

The New York Yankees (50-47) and Texas Rangers (39-59) have dealt with injuries to their starting rotation. Whenever teams deal with injuries, young pitchers must step-up. Two younger pitchers will square off on Monday evening. Texas will send out RHP Miles Mikolas (0-2, 10.05), who has struggled recently, while New York will counter with RHP Shane Greene (2-0, 1.32 ERA). Greene will make his Yankee Stadium debut looking for his third straight victory. Greene dominated during his last start, tossing seven scoreless innings while striking out nine as the Yankees topped Baltimore, 3-0. Unlike Greene, Mikolas hasn’t found his groove. Mikolas gave up four earned runs over 5 2/3 innings against the Angels during his last start. 

The Yankees are coming off an impressive three-game sweep of the Cincinnati Reds. Jacoby Ellsbury went 4-for-4 to help complete the sweep. Ellsbury has five extra base hits over his last eight games and went 8-for-19 against Texas as a member of the Red Sox last season. Record-wise, Texas is baseball’s worst team. The Rangers are 4-24 since June 17th. Texas’ biggest free agent acquisition, Shin Soo Choo, is on an 0-for-21 slide. 

Current MLB betting odds list the Yankees as an overwhelming -160 home favorite. Baseball is a game based on trends and momentum. I’m rolling with the young New York RHP and the Yankee offense that has shown signs of waking up. Take the Bombers today with your MLB Picks!

Free MLB Pick: NY Yankees -160

Carlos Beltran’s fifth inning, three-run home run proved to be the difference as the New York Yankees (41-42) edged the Minnesota Twins (37-45) in the first game of a four-game set, 7-4. The fifth inning blast was Beltran’s 367th career home run, placing him fourth all-time among switch hitters. With 367, he’s behind Mickey Mantle (536), Eddie Murray (504), and Chipper Jones (468). Beltran’s home run gave RHP Masahiro Tanaka (12-3, 2.82 ERA) his major league leading 12th win. Tanaka has been worth every dollar so far this season.

Rookie RHP Chase Whitley (3-2, 4.70 ERA) will look to follow Tanaka and add another win. This will be Whitley’s tenth start of his rookie season. Whitley will be opposed by RHP Kyle Gibson (7-6, 3.77 ERA). On the surface, Gibson’s numbers aren’t very good, but after reviewing his splits, he has dominated at home. In six home starts, Gibson is 4-1 with a 1.54 ERA. Opposing hitters are hitting just .213 against him at home. 

Current MLB odds have the Twins posted as a small -115 home favorite. Given Gibson’s dominance at home, I like his chances against a struggling Yankee lineup. Whitley is 2-1 with a 4.50 ERA away from Yankee Stadium. Expect a bounce back performance from the Twins as they even this series.

MLB Pick: Minnesota Twins -115


Runs should be plentiful as the Yankees (40-37) open a three-game set at home against the Red Sox (36-43). Boston starter, Bob Workman (1-0, 2.88 ERA) has not pitched since June 15th. Workman was suspended for six games for throwing near the head of Rays’ third baseman, Evan Longoria on May 30th. Workman’s last start was respectable when he allowed only two runs over six innings against the Cleveland Indians. Workman will be opposed by struggling LHP Vidal Nuno (1-4, 5.88 ERA). Nuno is 0-3 over eight appearance with an unsightly 7.09 ERA. He has surrendered five home runs and 13 runs over 9 1/3 innings in consecutive losses. Nuno has allowed a major league worst 13 home runs at home.

Boston is just 2-5 on their current ten game road trip. Neither of these starters have started in the storied Red Sox-Yankees rivalry. Carlos Beltran has welcomed the Red Sox-Yankees rivalry by homering three times thus far. Birthday boy Derek Jeter is 7-for-21 against the Red Sox this season. David Ortiz and Dustin Pedroia are hitting just .227 and .188 against the Yankees this season.

Workman hasn’t pitched in nearly two weeks while Nuno has been terrible at home. I’m expecting a high scoring game. Current MLB odds have the game total set at nine.  I like seeing high totals and I’m expecting a lot of runs. Take the over for your MLB Picks!

MLB Pick: Red Sox/Yankees Over 9

Jacoby Ellsbury received many ‘boos’ during his Boston homecoming as a member of the New York Yankees. The speedy lefty went for 2-for-5 with a double, triple, and two RBIs during a 9-3 Yankee romp over the Sox. Ellsbury’s triple in the Top of the 1st set the tone for the rest of the game. The 12-8 Yankees will look to pick up their second victory over their rival Wednesday night at Fenway Park. RHP Michael Pineda will take the ball and look to build upon his impressive performances thus far. Pineda (2-1, 1.00 ERA) threw six scoreless innings in his last start, a win against the lowly Chicago Cubs. Pineda has already faced the Red Sox and won. Pineda struck out seven en route to a 4-1 victory over the Champs at Yankee Stadium. Pitching in Fenway Park figures to be a big challenge for the burly righty. Pineda made his only start in Fenway as a member of the Seattle Mariners. The Red Sox tagged him for seven runs in 4 1/3 innings. Pineda is hoping for a better outing this time. During his last start, Pineda appeared to have some sort of substance on his hand. We’ll see if it happens again tonight and if the Red Sox do indeed to say something to the umpires.

Pineda will face off against RHP John Lackey (2-2, 5.25 ERA). Lacky has given up twelve runs over his last two starts including a 7-4 shellacking at the hands of the Yankees. Lackey carries an unsightly 6.26 ERA in nine starts against the Bombers since 2010. 

The Red Sox are supposed to get lead off man, Shane Victorino back soon. The speedy switch hitter has not played due to injuries. 

Current MLB odds have the Red Sox installed as slight money line favorites (-123). However, I love to ride hot streaks in baseball and the Yankee bats have been on fire lately. They hit Lackey very well and I expect that to continue. This is one of the rare occurence when we can get the Yankees as a road dog. Take them tonight in Fenway.

Pick: NY Yankees +117