Carlos Beltran’s fifth inning, three-run home run proved to be the difference as the New York Yankees (41-42) edged the Minnesota Twins (37-45) in the first game of a four-game set, 7-4. The fifth inning blast was Beltran’s 367th career home run, placing him fourth all-time among switch hitters. With 367, he’s behind Mickey Mantle (536), Eddie Murray (504), and Chipper Jones (468). Beltran’s home run gave RHP Masahiro Tanaka (12-3, 2.82 ERA) his major league leading 12th win. Tanaka has been worth every dollar so far this season.

Rookie RHP Chase Whitley (3-2, 4.70 ERA) will look to follow Tanaka and add another win. This will be Whitley’s tenth start of his rookie season. Whitley will be opposed by RHP Kyle Gibson (7-6, 3.77 ERA). On the surface, Gibson’s numbers aren’t very good, but after reviewing his splits, he has dominated at home. In six home starts, Gibson is 4-1 with a 1.54 ERA. Opposing hitters are hitting just .213 against him at home. 

Current MLB odds have the Twins posted as a small -115 home favorite. Given Gibson’s dominance at home, I like his chances against a struggling Yankee lineup. Whitley is 2-1 with a 4.50 ERA away from Yankee Stadium. Expect a bounce back performance from the Twins as they even this series.

MLB Pick: Minnesota Twins -115