The New York Mets (58-70) will welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (59-71) to Flushing on Monday for the first game of a four-game set. Rookie RHP Zack Wheeler (6-2, 3.49 ERA) will off against Cy Young Award winner, LHP Cliff Lee (10-6, 3.16 ERA). After posting a 5.06 ERA over his first three starts, Wheeler has settled in, posting a 5-1 record with a tidy 3.02 ERA in outings since July 1st. Wheeler struck out a career high 12 hitters in San Diego on August 15th and followed up that performance with a 6 2/3 inning performance against the Braves last week.
Cliff Lee has gone winless over his last six starts, but has only received eight runs of support. Lee has a 4.62 ERA over his last six games. Lee had a career 5-1 record with a 2.09 ERA over his first five starts against the Mets before dropping a 5-0 decision earlier this season.
The Mets have been outsourced 24-5 during their recent five game losing streak. The Mets were swept by Detroit over the weekend, falling 11-3 in the Sunday’s finale. The Phillies have won 6 of 8 games including winning 2 of 3 against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Pick: The Phillies opened as a -125 favorite and we’re going to continue fading the Mets. Cliff Lee takes extra pleasure in beating New York teams and I doubt today’s game will be any different. The Philly bats are hot right now, so expect the offensive momentum to carry over.