Last week, we put together another 2-1 record. This week, we’ll strive for perfection. There are three games that really stick out to me..This week’s games are:

  • New York Jets at New England Patriots
  • Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons
  • Chicago Bears at Detriot Lions
A Mega Monday for Matthew & Megatron?

 Game #1: New York Jets (+9.5) at New England Patriots

The Jets looked like an inept football team last week. Mark Sanchez created four turonvers, the wide receivers were nowhere to be found, and the entire Jet coaching staff took the week off and headed to the Caymen Islands. This week, they’ll take on a Patriot team that they defeated two in three weekings last season, one of which came in New England in the playoffs. We can’t forget about the New England trounching of the Jets, 45-3 either in the regular season, either.

However, coming off an embarassing loss in Oakland and a trounching in Baltimore, I can’t see the Pats completely blowing the Jets away. Rex will have the Jets excited and motivated for this game. The Patriot defense is the worst one in football, so look for the Jet offense to get back in sync. ‘Ground & Pound’ will have to be the focal point to keep Brady on the sidelines. I don’t see a Jet win, but I also don’t see a Patriot cover. The Pats are 2-2 against the spread in 2011 and have failed to cover spreads of 7.5 or larger.

The Pick: New York +9.5

Game #2: Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons (+5.5)

The Atlanta Falcons (2-2) were embarassed the last time they stepped on the field with the (4-0) Packers. Aaron Rodgers threw for 366 yards and 3 TDs enroute to a 48-24 win against a Falcon team that was unbeaten at home during the regular season. No one has had an answer for Rodgers since Week 16 last year against the Giants. Rodgers has a 73% completion percentage on a 9.4 yards per pass attempt. That is fall out scary. The Falcons gave up 318 yards through the air last week against Tavaris Jackson. What could Mr. Rodgers do in Atlanta’s neighborhood?

The Falcon defense has been pretty good against the run, holding opponents to under 90 yards. The Falcon defense hasn’t registered a sack since Week 1 and that will be a monster problem this week.

The Green Bay defense hasn’t been as dominant as it was last year, giving up 273 yards through the air. Not having Nick Collins hurts this secondary and Matt Ryan and Co. should have some success.

Bottom line, this game will come down to the edge rushers and passing attacks. Edge Green Bay in both regards.

The Packers are running so hot right and the Falcons could very well be 0-4 if Michael Vick finishes the fourth quarter and the Seahawks finish off their come back last week. Take Green Bay all day

The Pick: Green Bay (-5.5)

 Game #3: Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-5)

It’s good to be a Detroit native (When’s the last time anyone said that?) Coming off their ALDS win against the Yankees, Detroit sport fans will celebrate their first true prime time match-up as the rival Bears head in for a Monday Night showdown. The unbeaten Lions have mounted collasal comebacks in the last two weeks while the 2-2 Bears have had issues on offense. The Bears scored 34 points last week, but Jay Cutler completed only 50% of his passes for 102 yards. The Bears’s offensive line is one of the worst in the league, so expect a ton of pressure out of the Lion defense.

Offensively for the Lions, the offense runs through quarterback, Matthew Stafford. Stafford faces a Chicago secondary that has given up at least 270 yards through the air in each game. In addition, Calvin Johnson has been an absolute beast in the red zone. Teams have double, even triple teamed him and he has scored eight TDs in four games. The Bears have also given nearly 100 yards per game on the ground. That means a lot of work for Mr. Jahivd Best.

When we analyze games, we normally look at Xs and Os. In this case, the Lions are a more talented team, but the passion and excitement in Ford Field will push the Lions over the hump. This should be an extremely easy cover and is my Game of the Week.

The Pick: Detroit (-5)

Last Week: 2-1

Year-To-Date: 4-2