We had a solid Week 3, posting a 2-1 record. This week, we have another three games on tap. The match-ups include:

  • Detroit at Dallas
  • Pittsburgh at Houston
  • New England at Oakland

Get your popcorn ready as we head towards a 3-0 record for Week 4..

Ndamakong Suh Is Coming...

Game #1: Detroit Lions (+2.5) at Dallas Cowboys

Game 1 features the 3-0 Detroit Lions and the 2-1 Dallas Cowboys. Winning is contagious in NFL. Dating back to last season, the Lions have won six straight games and rallied from 21 points down to top the Minnesota Vikings last week. Outside of Tom Brady, Matthew Stafford has been the most impressive quarterback in the league. This week, Stafford will have a chance to play catch with 6’5″ receiver, Calvin Johnson against the smallish Dallas defensive backs.

The Cowboys beat the Redskins last week to the tune of six field goals. Tony Romo (ribs) clearly doesn’t look right and he’ll be without Miles Austin and potentially Dez Bryant this week. The Dallas offensive line was a cluttered mess last week as center Phil Costa had issues snapping the ball to Romo. Costa better watch out as Detroit’s fearsome defensive line, anchored by Ndamakong Suh, will be out to put pressure on Romo.

I don’t see either team having much success on the ground this week, but the thought of Romo taking one big hit and heading towards the sidelines is enough to scare me.

Some will argue that the Lions are set up for the classic ‘Let Down Game’ as they won in Minnesota for the first time in ten years last week. But they are going to DALLAS to play the COWBOYS in a billion dollar stadium. It’s not happening. Forget the points and take the Lions as a straight up winner.

The Pick: Detroit Lions (-ML)

Game #2: Pittsburgh Steelers at Houston Texans (-3.5)

The book is out on the (2-1) Pittsburgh offense; put pressure on Ben and watch the mistakes happen. Pittsburgh’s offensive line has been horrible so far, failing to create running lanes and watching Ben take big hits. Last week against a putrid Colt run defense, the Pittsburgh running game was only able to muster a two-yard per carry average.

Both teams feature dynamic receivers in Andre Johnson and Mike Wallace, but are countered by corners, Ike Taylor and Jonathan Joseph. Expect great battles on the outside. Pittsburgh’s passing game has earned the team’s first two wins, but those wins have come against putrid opponents (Seattle, Indy). Will they be able to step up against a resurgent defense? Or turn in another clunker like they did against the Ravens?

The Texans will have a healthy Arian Foster toting the rock this week as he takes on the ruggedĀ Steeler run defense. Despite losing on the road to the Saints last week, the Texans have shown the ability to win tight games (Week 2 in Miami) and put up big points (34 in New Orleans).

Expect defensive coordinator, Wade Phillips to dial up the pressure on Roethlisberger this week. Vegas is basically begging people to bet on the AFC Champions. Don’t fall for it and take the Texans at home.

The Pick: Houston Texans (-3.5)

Game #3: New England Patriots at Oakland Raiders (+6)

This is the most interesting game of the week. The Oakland Raiders are coming off a huge home win against the Classless Jets while the Patriots blew a 21-point lead to the upstart Buffalo Bills. Tom Brady threw four interceptions last week (three were on tipped passes), but has amassed 1,312 passing yards through three games. The Patriots won’t have tight end, Aaron Hernandez this week, but they will have Mighty Mouse (aka Wes Welker).

While Brady’s passing total is impressive, the Patriot defensive play isn’t. The Patriots have given the most total yardage in the league (468.7) including roughly 380 yards through the air. That statistic bodes well for quarterback, Jason Campbell and receivers, Denarious Moore and Jacoby Ford. Moore has been electric this season, so expect Devin McCourty to defend him closely.

The X-Factor in this game is Darren McFadden. McFadden has amassed nearly 500 total yards and 4 TDs so far. McFadden has been limited in practice this week with a groin injury, but expect a full dose of him Sunday afternoon. If he can move the chains and keep Tom on the sideline, he’ll help the Raiders win this one outright.

The Oakland Raiders will not have their top corner, Chris Johnson and safety, Michael Huff is questionable with a concussion. There’s no doubt that the Patriots will put up big passing numbers.

Six is a lot of points for a defense that can’t stop a nose bleed. With McFadden controlling the clock and Campbell keeping theĀ defense honest, give me the Raiders and the points.

The Pick: Oakland Raiders (+6)

Recap: Lions (-ML), Youstan (-3.5), Raidahs (+6)

Last Week: 2-1

Year-To-Date: 2-1