We are 24 hours away from Week 3 kicking off. This week, I really like three games and I’m ready to put my proverbial money where my mouth is. This week’s picks will revolve our these games..

  • Houston at New Orleans
  • Jacksonville at Carolina
  • Kansas City at San Diego

Get your popcorn ready…

Will Mr. Newton Help Make You $$ This Week?

Game #1: Houston at New Orleans (-4), 1:00 PM

This is the year for the Houston Texans. After playing in Peyton Manning’s shaddow for the last decade, this team hasn’t gained much attention. However, after Manning had surgery and their other two division foes drafted quarterbacks, the Texans easily became the odds-on favorites to win the AFC South. After a 2-0 start, they are well on their way.

The New Orlean Saints (1-1) have already played both NFC Championship participants from last season. After coming up short in Green Bay during Week 1, the Warriors of the Bayou beat the Bears by 17 points. Mr. Brees has thrown for 700 yards in his first two games while Darren Sproles has surprised many with his solid play thus far.

When analyzing any game between two ‘evenly matched’ teams, the home team is normally favored by three points. With that being said, the Saints are better than a one-point favorite against the Texans. The Texans won in Miami during Week 2, but if Dan Carpenter knocks down two of the field goals he missed, the Texans lose and are probably a 7.5 point dog here. Saints kicker, John Kasay, is 5 for 5 this season and has been kicking field goals before I was born. He won’t miss in the Superdome.

One other note, rookie running back Daniel Thomas gashed the Texan rush defense for 107 yards on 18 carries. This week, another rookie get his first 100 yard game. Mark Ingram will have his big game as professional, rushing for over 100 yards and a score.

Expect this game to be high scoring, but with the Saints covering the spread.

Saints 31
Texans 24

Game #2: Jacksonville at Carolina (-3.5), 1:00 PM

This game seems almost too easy. The Panthers played 2.5 quarters of great football against the Green Bay Packers last week. Trailing 13-7 at half time, the Packers put a big third quarter together, scoring 16 unanswered points. Cam Newton threw for 432 and led a late scoring drive, but it wasn’t enough as the Pack topped the Panthers, 30-23. Despite throwing for 850 yards in his two career NFL games, Cam Newton has lost more games now than he did as a collegiate.

The Jaguars posted a very impressive Week 1 win against the Titans, but were blown out by 29 by the Classless Jets last week.  Despite the lopsided score, Maurice Jones Drew still had a good game, rushing for 91 yards. Quarterback Josh McCown proved to be inept at playing the position, so he’s riding the pine this week. Since McCown was horrible last week, the Jags will roll out a rookie QB of their own, Blaine Gabbert. As Newton has shown, stereo types about rookie QBs should be thrown out the window.

The Jaguars run defense has slowed down two of the better rushing attacks so far (TEN, NYJ), but their ineffiencies on offense have hurt them. In contrast, the Panther offense has put up big offensive numbers, but has been unable to slow down the opposing offense. DeAngelo Williams (43 yards) has been a non-factor thus far signing a large contract extension this off-season. Expect him to be more involved this week as the Panthers will run to drain the clock late in the game.

For me, the Panthers are much better than 3.5 points. Look for Newton to come out throwing to pick up his first professional win.

Panthers 24
Jaguars 10

Game #3: Kansas City at San Diego (-14.5), 4:05 PM

This is the biggest mismatch for the week. The San Diego Chargers (1-1) are coming off a frustrating loss to the New England Patriots. The Chargers committed four big turnovers, all of which the Pats produced points, as they fell 35-21. Despite the losses, the Chargers lead the league in first downs (60) and are third in total offense (438.5 YPG). Quarterback Phil Rivers came out this week and says he expects the offense to ‘score more points’. This doesn’t sound good for Todd Haley’s Chiefs.

The Chiefs are the worst team in the NFL. In their first two games, the Bills and Lions collectively outscored the Chiefs, 89-10. If that wasn’t enough, losing stud running back, Jamaal Charles makes life 100x harder. Matt Cassel has only completed 60% of his passes and last looked downright lost so far.

The spread (14.5) seems big, but the Chargers always play well at home and are playing with extra motivation after last week’s debacle. Look for the backfield of Ryan Mathews and Mike Tolbert post huge totals in this route.

The Chargers won’t have Antonio Gates, but should easily cover this spread.

San Diego 38
Kansas City 10